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ENI's Academy Awards Predictions - Part 1
Reported by Kristen - 03:55 PM 2010.01.24
 The culmination of any year in films truly arrives in the middle of the new year, the Academy Awards. 2010 arrives with an Oscars that is different than anything done in awhile with the return of ten nominees for Best Picture, expanded from the typical five, and the awards coming a bit later on March 7th. With the nominations right around the corner, February 2nd, it’s time for ENI to throw its hat in the ring and announce our predictions for what will be nominated for the awards. All the major award will be covered with the story so far, possible nominations, and a favorite choice that might or might not get the nod. In Part 2, once the awards are released we’ll see how many from this list made it and who will be walking home with the award.Best Original Screenplay It may seem like one of the weaker categories but with the majority of movies coming from some type of source material, the Original Screenplay is definitely a heavy contender. The Golden Globe lumps everything together but three of the nominations were Original Screenplay contenders, Inglourious Basterds, It’s Complicated and The Hurt Locker. Basterds will definitely secure a nod due to Tarantino’s name alone and the witty writing is highly praised. The rapid-fire dialogue and rewriting of World War II will secure it and along with the script for The Hurt Locker could cause some competition in the final hours. Hurt Locker is the little engine that could, becoming a serious awards contender and the Kathryn Bigelow film will also be gaining a nomination. It’s Complicated will probably hold over to these awards due to the success of Nancy Meyers’ writing in the past and it’s heavy awards potential in other categories. That leaves two slots, one of which looks to be taken by the Coen brothers with A Serious Man. The movie is heavily divided with critics and its hit or miss at various awards fests is proof of that. While its spot in terms of Best Picture is still on the bubble, there’s no doubt the Coens will secure a nod in this category as they’re usually strong in this area if past awards are anything to go off of. The last slot could go to Disney/PIXAR’s Up which has a fantastic script and is rumored to be a serious contender for Best Picture as a whole. While that’s a bit dubious the script is solid and should gain a nomination. The biggest question is whether Avatar will get the nod, and win due to how it’s sweeping the awards of late. It’s really the only upset of the category and would go far in terms of securing James Cameron the same amount of nods for Titanic. Personal Pick: I vote for Up! The story is heartfelt, the writing was sweet and poignant and the movie itself is defined by the characters that need to be written well in order to connect with audiences. The Nominees Are: Inglourious Basterds, It’s Complicated, and The Hurt Locker, Up, A Serious Man (Alternate being Avatar) Best Adapted Screenplay The winner of the Golden Globe went to Jason Reitman’s Up in the Air, and with that alone its nomination is all but assured. The win seems fairly secure but it faces some stiff competition from Precious whose odd of securing other major awards is slipping further and further. An Education is also being touted as the winner with a sparkling and witty script by acclaimed Nick Hornby. Smaller fare like A Single Man and Crazy Heart have also gained some of the smaller film festival awards with a few big nominations looming but their biggest chance is getting into this category. Genre fans might see Fantastic Mr. Fox or District 9 upset the chain but it seems a bit weak at this point in favor of the other films that don’t look to be gaining any of the big five awards. Personal Pick: Hornby’s script is sharp and entertaining for An Education. While Precious had some great dialogue the actors really added to it so personally a lot of my personal choice rests with An Education. The Nominees Are: Up in the Air, Precious, An Education, A Single Man and Crazy Heart (Alternate: District 9) Supporting Actor The Supporting Actor race is heating up as there’s so much potential and really it could be the area where the most upsets occur. The Golden Globe went to Inglourious Basterds star Christoph Waltz who crafted the most memorable role of the year with SS Officer Hans Landa. After that the rest is up in the air, so to speak, as no one is truly secure. The only one who could upset Waltz and grab the win would be Christopher Plummer for his work in The Last Station. While it’s not getting hardly any attention from audiences, critics are raving about Plummer and at 80-years-old he’s never won an Academy Award so much like Peter O’Toole in Venus, he could secure the nomination and possibly the win due to his age. Other than that Stanley Tucci will probably secure a nomination for his phenomenal work as the murderer in Peter Jackson’s The Lovely Bones, probably the only award this movie will secure due to its lackluster and bloated story. Woody Harrelson is also being talked about for his role as soldier who is forced to give the bad news to families of fallen soldiers in The Messengers. Mirroring Plummer’s role Harrelson will probably secure a nomination. The last slot could go to anybody ranging from Alfred Molina in An Education to Matt Damon in Clint Eastwood’s Invictus. Personal Pick: It seems that Alfred Molina isn’t as much of a shoo-in as he once was, but hopefully he’ll secure a nod for An Education. His role as a naïve father is sweet and hilarious with Molina conveying so much emotion and love. The Nominees Are: Christoph Waltz, Christopher Plummer, Stanley Tucci, Woody Harrelson and Matt Damon (Alternate: Alfred Molina). Supporting Actress This category is probably the only one where the winner is expected, but people are divided on who is the best. Mo’Nique is a no-brainer for the nomination and the win if all the other awards are tallied up and her recent Golden Globe win is securing her space in the category. Also secured is young Anna Kendrick for her role in Up in the Air. She’s truly the only other competition with Mo’Nique and while she probably won’t win she’s a heavy hitter. Kendrick’s co-star Vera Farmiga also garnered a Golden Globe nomination which might be enough to boost her to the Oscar nomination, the same with Julianne Moore for A Single Man. After that it’s split between Samantha Morton for The Messengers and Penelope Cruz for Nine. Both movies are divided between critics with only the mentioned actresses getting acclaim. At this point it might be in favor of Cruz if only because Nine has been more widely available and seen. Personal Pick: Anna Kendrick was simply a delight in Up in the Air and while she probably won’t win I’d be happy for Mo’Nique as well who just gave a heart wrenching performance. Other than that it’d be great to see Sigourney Weaver get some recognition for her neglected turn in Avatar but that seems unlikely at this point. The Nominees Are: Mo’Nique, Anna Kendrick, Julianne Moore, Vera Farmiga and Penelope Cruz (Alternate: Samantha Morton) Best Actor Mirroring the aforementioned categories the first couple of nominations in this category are cut and dry. As many critics have cited, Jeff Bridges role in Crazy Heart is similar to Mickey Rourke’s turn in The Wrestler which solidifies his nomination and his Golden Globes win will make him the one to beat. George Clooney and Colin Firth are also safe for their roles in Up in the Air and A Single Man respectively. The only other actor who has gained quite a bit of recognition is Jeremy Renner for his phenomenal role in The Hurt Locker. In any other year he might have gotten the win but a nomination should be enough for this film. The question is whether Robert Downey Jr., who won the Acting Golden Globe in Comedy/Musical, will slide in to fill the last slot. Morgan Freeman is also being touted as the fifth member but Invictus hasn’t gotten as much acclaim as expected, the same goes for Daniel Day-Lewis for Nine. Personal Pick: George Clooney gave a more subdued performance in Up in the Air and Renner is just fantastic, either one would be enough for me. Other than Downey was hysterical and should get the nod. The Nominees Are: George Clooney, Jeff Bridges, Colin Firth, Jeremy Renner, and Robert Downey Jr (Alternates: Morgan Freeman, Daniel Day-Lewis) Best Actress It’s safe to assume the holdovers from the Golden Globes will transfer to the Best Actress category, securing nominations for Sandra Bullock and Meryl Streep. These two alone are the main competitors against each other for the win especially considering both women were nominated for two different films at the Globes. After that Gabourey Sidibe is also secure for Precious, but who once was considered the frontrunner will have to settle for the nod alone, Carey Mulligan is in the same boat for An Education. After that the last slot could go to anyone after that, possibly Emily Blunt for The Young Victoria or Marion Cotillard for Nine. Personal Pick: Carey Mulligan gave the best performance for a female this year in An Education and Cotillard was the high point of Nine. The Nominees Are: Sandra Bullock, Meryl Streep, Gabourey Sidibe, Carey Mulligan, and Marion Cotillard (Alternate: Emily Blunt) Best Director The directing category is a category filled with shoo-ins; it’ll just be difficult to determine a winner. Exes James Cameron and Kathryn Bigelow will be battling it out for Avatar and The Hurt Locker respectively. Cameron securing the Globe and with Avatar becoming the juggernaut that it is gives him an advantage with winning. Quentin Tarantino and Jason Reitman are fan favorites and should secure a nod as well. Clint Eastwood could slip in and gain the last slot; merely because of the name recognition and that every Eastwood film usually garners a spot in this category. Lee Daniels could also be the dark horse with Precious but that seems a bit out of reach at this point since Precious has lost a lot of its luster. Personal Pick: Lone Scherfig doesn’t look to be getting a nomination and that’s a shame since An Education is such a phenomenal movie. Reitman is a good second choice and sadly doesn’t look like a winner either. The Nominees Are: James Cameron, Kathryn Bigelow, Quentin Tarantino, Jason Reitman, and Lee Daniels (Alternate: Clint Eastwood) Best Picture With the expansion from five nominees to ten it would seem like that opens up the playing field to more genre films, probably the reason why the category was opened up to begin with. That secures a slot for the Best Picture winners of the Golden Globes, The Hangover and Avatar, to lead the pack. The Best Director nominees could also grab some spots allowing Bigelow’s The Hurt Locker and Reitman’s Up in the Air to get a slice. Precious is also pretty secure as its one of the bigger movies to come out. That still leaves five more slots open and those could be where the smaller independent films get in such as An Education and The Messengers to slip in. Up in divided by critics on where it fits but it’s one of the more popular choices and could prove whether opening this up allows for more film choices. After that it could go to some of the less successful movies from big directors like Nine or Invictus, and one can’t forget films like A Serious Man or A Single Man which has gotten a lot of recognition for its acting. Personal Pick: The Hangover all the way, the same with Up in the Air! The Nominees Are: Avatar, The Hangover, The Hurt Locker, Up in the Air, Precious, An Education, The Messengers, Nine, A Serious Man, and Nine (Alternates: A Single Man, Invictus) MORE awards NEWS
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